Stablecoins, or a dollar-pegged coins have been growing in market cap. The prices of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies have increased in 2024 so the increase in the market cap of stablecoins is to be expected. But not all of them are growing and not at the same rate.
It’s been a fun ride for stablecoins in the last years. Let’s take a look!
The TerraUST fiasco back in May 2022 has left a mark on the stablecoins industry. It took a while for the market to recover. Meanwhile other coins like BUSD, TUSD have been facing regulatory challenges and have been closed operations.
Apart from the fiat backed stablecoins (USDT, USDC, ….) that are keeping dollars in the banks or equivalent like T-bills, there are tokens like DAI, HBD that are backed by other crypto as collateral, and/or using conversion on chain operations to maintain the peg.
Here we will be looking at:
- Tether [USDT]
- USD Coin [USDC]
- Dai [DAI]
- Ethena USD [USDe]
- First Digital Dollar [fdUSD]
There are a few more out there like, FRAX, PaxosUSD, USDP, etc, but we will focus on the above as the biggest ones in market cap.
Tether [USDT]
Tether is the oldest stablecoin in crypto. It has been around since 2015. Allegedly it is founded by the Bitfinex exchange. A lot of controversy around this coin in the past, including court cases. The main issue that has been raised has been is each coin backed by one dollar in the bank. Tether is an offshore company with a location outside of the US jurisdiction.
But Tether has survived multiple crashes and run on the banks in the last years, and it has proven itself to work as intended in the mist of the biggest chaos in the crypto industry.
Here is the market cap for Tether .
As mentioned, Tether started operating back in 2015, but it gained some significant market cap for the first time in 2017. A real bull run and a massive increase in the market cap happened in 2021 when its market cap went from under 10B to more than 83B.
Then in 2022 there was the crypto crash and the Tether market cap contracted from 83B to 65B. In 2023 it started growing again and continued in 2024 reaching a new ATH of 113B where it stands now. An amazing achievement of more than 100B in Tether market cap. At this value, Tether and the treasury bills it holds Tether is now in the top 10 US debt buyers, the size of a middle to big country. It’s almost unbelievable when you think about it. A company with less than 100 employees is a significant buyer of US debt. This is raising a lot of questions, but that is a totally different debate.
USD Coin [USDC]
USDC is a common project between Circle and Coinbase. It is a US based company.
Here is the chart.
USDC was founded back in 2018 and it gained real momentum in 2021, when it reached 58B. A drop followed afterwards in 2022, and even bigger drop in the first half of 2023 due to a bank crisis in the US. In March 2023, one of the banks where USDC had a share of its reserves in USD, collapsed, causing the market to panic and pushing down the peg of USDC as low as 88 cents. This was short lived and the USDC peg recovered in a day or two, and later it even managed to get access to its funds in the collapsed bank. But the damage was done, and a lot of funds exited from USDC.
In 2024 the USDC market cap started growing again an it is now at 34B.
USDT vs USDC
When we plot the market cap of the two biggest stablecoins we get this.
An almost ideal inverse pattern!
After the growth of both of these coins back in 2021, since 2022 the market cap of these two has been inversely correlated. Whenever Tether lost market cap, USDC gained.
In the last period, for the first time in a while both of the coins started growing again, although we can notice that Tether is growing faster than USDC.
Dai [DAI]
DAI is the decentralized version for stablecoin. It runs as a smart contract on Ethereum. Everyone can use the MakerDAO protocol, deposit collateral and generate DAI as a loan.
DAI works as overcollateralized stablecoin, where users put in crypto assets to mint DAI.
DAI was established back in 2019, it grew through 2021 a lot reaching 10B market cap, and it has been in decline since then up November 2023. We can see the big spike at the end of the chart. That is an increase in the market cap of DAI from 3.5B to 5B in just a few days. The biggest increase was on November 8, when there was 1.5B DAI minted in a day. Since then, the market cap of DAI has been almost stable, although has declined just a bit.
In the previous bull run there was a tendency to use USDC to mint DAI, but in the last period this has changed and most of the collateral to mint DAI now is ETH, with more than 70% share.
Ethena USD [USDe]
Ethena is a type of synthetic dollar that is dollar backed by a “delta-neutral” position that goes long spot stETH (and BTC) and simultaneously short an equivalent ETH-PERP (and BTC-PERP) position. The net effect is that both positions offset one another and therefore USDe is theoretically able to maintain its 1:1 peg.
Ethena is the new kid on the block and has been growing significantly in 2024 reaching 3.4B in one year.
fdUSD, USDE and TUSD
These are three of the next biggest stablecoins. The fdUSD has grown especially in the last period and has reached more than 3B since August 2023 till now. TUSD is now at 400M and has declined since its peak of 3B.
Cumulative Stablecoins Market Cap
Here is the chart for the total stablecoins market cap.
This is the long term chart for the stablecoins. We can see the overall trend here that most of the stablecoins capitalization came in 2021, with Tether emerging as the first, followed by USDC and DAI. We can see the decline and fall of BUSD and the TUSD.
At this moment Tether and USDC have more than 70% share of the market cap.
The overall stablecoins market cap has just reclaimed its previous ATH of 160B.
When we zoom in 2024 we have this:
Here we can notice the steady growth in 2024 with the new USDe and fdUSD appearing for the first time. The year started with 135B and we are now at 163B. Almost 30B has been added this year. Most of the growth happened in the first four months of the year.
For context on a longer timeframe, on a yearly basis the market cap for stablecoins looks like this.
After an explosive growth in 2021, the stablecoins market cap has been dropping in 2022 and 2023 and now has been growing again in 2024.
Top Stablecoins Market Share
Here is the chart for the market share of the top stablecoins.
Tether USDT is still dominant. The harsh regulation in the US on stablecoins has probably contributed to this. Things might change if/when there is more clarity about stablecoins issuers in the US. There seems to be change recently in this, so we will see how it goes.
Tether USDT now holds close to 70% share in the stablecoins industry. USDC is in the second spot with 21% share followed by DAI with 3% share.
All the best
@dalz